The facts

  1. Energy Minister Juma Zuberi Homera announced the 223 billion cubic feet estimate for the Kasa-1X ST2 well in Mtwara, The Citizen reported. [2]

  2. Maurel & Prom put the discovery at approximately 200 billion cubic feet gross, or 120 billion net to its 60% interest, describing these as early estimates. [1]

  3. The operator envisaged first production as early as November 2026, with potential gross output of 50 million cubic feet a day. These were forecasts, not confirmation of production. [1]

  4. The Chanzo reported the difference between the government and operator figures and said neither announcement classified the volume as certified recoverable reserves. [3]

Still unconfirmed

  • The reason for the different estimates, the certified recoverable quantity and eventual production date remain unconfirmed.

Sources

References support the numbered facts above. Source checks: 29 Oct 2026, 09:27 UTC.

  1. Activity for the first nine months of 2026

    Maurel & Prom · Primary source · 22 Oct 2026

    Tanzania section on printed page 4 checked; distinguishes gross resources, net interest and projected production.

  2. Tanzania discovers 223 billion cubic feet of natural gas in Mtwara

    The Citizen · Reporting · 27 Oct 2026

    Original reporting by Julius Maricha; Nation Media Group publication.

  3. Tanzania announces 223 BCF gas find as operator stays cautious

    The Chanzo · Reporting · 28 Oct 2026

    Separately owned Tanzanian reporting compares the ministry's estimate with the operator's release.

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