The facts

  1. The Guardian reported that more than 50.5 million Americans had cast early ballots by the morning of 31 October, citing the University of Florida Election Lab. [1][2]

  2. The Guardian said the total was nearly five million greater than all early ballots cast in the 2022 midterms; this compares early ballots, not final total turnout. [1][2]

  3. Voters' registered party affiliations, where reported, do not establish how individuals voted or predict the national result. [1][2]

Still unconfirmed

  • The final early-vote total, Election Day turnout and control of Congress remain unknown before the 3 November election.

Sources

References support the numbered facts above. Source checks: 1 Nov 2026, 09:41 UTC.

  1. More than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms

    The Guardian · Reporting · 31 Oct 2026

    Guardian reports the 50.5 million estimate as of Saturday morning and attributes the analysis to the University of Florida Election Lab.

  2. Early Vote Tracker for the 2026 Midterms

    University of Florida Election Lab · Primary source · 31 Oct 2026

    Public tracker maintained by the Election Lab; its interactive values were not readable in the text view, so the exact 50.5 million figure is attributed to the Guardian's analysis.

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